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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589 8:33 AM · May 10, 2025Kosmos-428-SA has most likely reentered by now. Have not heard any reports of observations. Space Force will at some point issue a reentry estimate - nothing yet.
That's likely K482, but could still be in (very low) orbit at that point - would be passing Peru at 0545 UTC or so. Will be interesting to see if eventual decay report matches that.
Most likely K-482-SA will fall in the ocean. But there are a bunch of major cities it flies over during the entry window. I will list them here with UTC times of flyover 0240 Buenos Aires 0245 Refice 0257 Nouakchott 0300 Tindouf 0304 Algiers (continued..)0459 Dalat, Vietnam 0550 Caracas 0552 Antigua 606 Bristol 0607 High WYcombe, Watford, Chelmfford, Clacton-on-Sea 0608 DenHaag, Rotterdam, Utrecht 0610 Magdeburg, Lodz 0638 Carnarvon 0721 Trinidad (Cuba), Bahamas 0737 Waterford (IE) 0738 Oxford, London, Margate0739 Ghent, Brussels 0740 Frankfurt 0741 Vienna, Budapest 0743 Bucharest 0748 Basra
The descent craft was seen by radar systems over Germany at approximately 04:30 UTC and 06:04 UTC, corresponding to 06:30 CEST and 08:04 CEST, respectively. There is no further update on the estimated reentry window as we are now roughly in the centre, corresponding to the red dot labeled COIW (centre of impact window) in the ground track track chart below.
#Kosmos482 is no longer on radar, according to #Roskosmos the space probe fell today at 3:24 ARG (06 :24 UTC) in the Ocean #índico 560 km from the island #MiddleAndaman .
Аппарат «Космос-482» сошел с орбиты и упал в океанЗапущенный в 1972 году космический аппарат «Космос-482» прекратил существование, сойдя с орбиты и упав в Индийском океанеСхождение аппарата контролировалось средствами Автоматизированной системы предупреждения об опасных ситуациях в околоземном космическом пространстве.В соответствии с расчетами специалистов ЦНИИмаш (входит в Роскосмос), аппарат вошел в плотные слои атмосферы в 9:24 мск в 560 км западнее острова Средний Андаман и упал в Индийском океане западнее Джакарты.Аппарат был запущен весной 1972 года для исследования Венеры, однако из-за неисправности разгонного блока остался на высокой эллиптической орбите Земли, постепенно приближаясь к планете.
Katya Pavlushchenko @katlinegreyPavel Shubin, famous space exploration historian and expert in Soviet space industry, believes that there's a small chance that #kosmos482 may have positive buoyancy and theoretically can be found floating on the surface by one of the nearby ships. https://t.me/pole_of_the_moon/321
Michal Vaclavik @Kosmo_MichalObjevila se zpráva, že by přistávací pouzdro neúspěšné mise sondy Veněra (Kosmo 482) mohlo po dopadu do vody plavat. Osobně se s touto teorií neztotožňuji. Počítám, že oba úseky pro padák a palubní vybavení již před vstupem do atmosféry Země nebyly hermetizovány.
Dr Marco Langbroek @Marco_LangbroekThis is how (currently) various organisations have their nominal #reentry points for the #Kosmos Descent Craft located, each based on their own models.
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589 5:13 AM · May 10, 2025New TLE orbit for K482-SA, in 120 x 166 km orbit
Status 10 May 14:21 CESTAs the descent craft was not spotted over Germany at the expected 07:32 UTC / 09:32 CEST pass by our colleagues at Fraunhofer FHR , it is most likely that the reentry occurred on the track between 06:04 UTC and 07:32 UTC. The latest prediction diagrams have been updated accordingly but reflect the commonly used full prediction uncertainties where ESA’s Space Debris Office predicted that the reentry of the descent craft will have taken place at:06:16 UTC (08:16 CEST) on 10 May 2025The uncertainty in this prediction was +/- 0.36 hours. See further down for the latest prediction graphs.We have not received so far any reports on visual direct observations of the final re-entry, or on any impacts on ground.
Anatoly Zak @RussianSpaceWeb 4:11 PM · May 10, 2025·For clarification: Venus lander, whose pictures accompanied almost every story about falling V-72 spacecraft this week, likely shows a much earlier V-67 (Venera-4) lander (left), featuring a drastically different design. Find 5 differences: https://russianspaceweb.com/spacecraft_planetary_venus.html
Sonda COSMOS 482 zdeorbitowana – stan na 10.05.2025 r. godz. poranne10 maja, 2025Ostatni przelot sondy Cosmos 482 nad europejskim sensorem nastąpił o godzinie 08:04 CEST, co przyjmuje się jako środek okna deorbitacji, z niepewnością +/-20min.Około godziny 09:50 CEST spodziewany był kolejny przelot sondy Cosmos 482 nad europejskimi sensorami. Aktualnie obiekt nie został odnotowany przez dostępne źródła danych w Europie, co oznacza, że wszedł w atmosferę Ziemi.Na obecną chwilę, nie ma sygnałów, aby obiekt mógł wejść w atmosferę Ziemi nad Polską.
Because it's a hot topic right now.#otd On May 10, 2025, Cosmos 482, which failed to become Venera 9, fell into the Indian Ocean.Instead, here is a stamp from Cosmos 8, its older sister spacecraft, which was launched four days before Cosmos 482 and reached Venus.
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