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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589·Jun 14
@dillonshrop6 any clues? Reentry NOTAMs could be mid-Atlantic for normal HASTE launch, or Indian Ocean for a marginal-orbit one...
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589·Jun 14
@RocketLab @Peter_J_Beck can you confirm/deny if the Jun 11 HASTE launch left stages in orbit, or is this a cataloging mistake?
Cosmic Penguin @Cosmic_Penguin·Jun 14
https://space-notices.com/entry/launch-haste-curveball
I didn’t see anything outside of the Atlantic that could be related to this from a few days ago.
Jonathan McDowell@planet4589·Jun 14
That at least constrains the orbit
Lukas C. H.@GewoonLukas_·Jun 14
I wonder if the USSF detected the stages while they were still in-flight (before SECO). If I recall correctly there have been cases where the first set of TLE's released for an orbital launch showed it being suborbital.
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589·Jun 14
The second sentence is true. But there has never been a case where a suborbital launch has been cataloged, with the exception of Landsat-6, an error which was retracted the following day and the catalog / intl id reused.
https://x.com/planet4589/status/20659248890018119922) Wystrzelono misję Curveball dla nieznanego klienta.
Orbita jest szacunkowa i opiera się na ograniczonych danych Space-Track.
Prawdopodobnie przedstawia trajektorię tuż przed odpaleniem silnika, który ma przyspieszyć powrót ładunku w atmosferę, umożliwiając przeprowadzenie hipersonicznego testu lotu atmosferycznego.
11.06.2026 08:10 UTC 6577 0,0001 h=198x199 km
https://orbitalfocus.uk/Diaries/Launches/Launches.php?year=2026#1303)
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589 12:29 PM · Jun 15, 2026
Based on the orbital parameters released on http://Space-Track.org I mocked up a TLE for the CURVEBALL objects. Another possibility for the mission is that the payload completed most of an orbit and was recovered over the Western US, e.g. at the Utah Test and Training Range
https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/2066468234790883576Jonathan McDowell @planet4589 12:48 PM · Jun 15, 2026
I would however expect in that case an environmental assessment document for space recoveries at UTTR - there was one for the Varda recoveries there but not a more general one as far as I know. So that argues against this theory....
Jonathan McDowell @planet4589·Jun 15
I'll note that Bob Christy's theory is that although the kick stage was cataloged, it was in fact deorbited with the payload, presumably on first orbit, removing the need to assume the payload had its own propulsion
https://x.com/planet4589/status/20664728121564203874)
Decay dates have been published:
2026-130A on June 12
2026-130B on June 17
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https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=65178.0